Technical Indicators: Moving Averages, RSI, MACD & Bollinger Bands - businesskites

businesskites

Simplified Business Studies

Technical Indicators: Moving Averages, RSI, MACD & Bollinger Bands

1. Moving Averages (MA)

A moving average is a tool that helps smooth out price data to show the overall direction of a stock or market trend. It takes the average of the prices over a certain period of time, making it easier to see if prices are going up, down, or staying the same.

Types of Moving Averages:

Simple Moving Average (SMA):

The SMA is calculated by adding up the prices of a stock over a specific time period (like 50 days or 200 days) and dividing by that number of days.

Example: A 50-day SMA adds up the closing prices of the last 50 days and divides by 50 to get the average.

How to use it:

If the stock price is above the SMA, it’s a sign that the stock might be in an uptrend (going up).

If the stock price is below the SMA, it might be in a downtrend (going down).

Exponential Moving Average (EMA):

The EMA is similar to the SMA but gives more importance to the most recent prices, so it reacts faster to price changes.

How to use it:

EMAs are more responsive to recent price movements, making them better for spotting short-term trends.

2. Relative Strength Index (RSI)

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a tool that tells you if a stock is “overbought” (too expensive) or “oversold” (too cheap). The RSI gives a value between 0 and 100.

Overbought (above 70): If the RSI is above 70, it means the stock might have gone up too much too quickly, and it could fall soon (sell signal).

Oversold (below 30): If the RSI is below 30, it means the stock might have fallen too much, and it could go up soon (buy signal).

How to use it:

Look for RSI values above 70 to consider selling, and values below 30 to consider buying.

3. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD)

The MACD is a tool that compares two moving averages (usually a 12-day EMA and a 26-day EMA) to show whether a stock is gaining or losing momentum. It helps you understand when a trend might be changing.

MACD Line: This is the difference between the 12-day EMA and the 26-day EMA.

Signal Line: A 9-day EMA of the MACD line. It helps confirm buy and sell signals.

How to use it:

Buy signal: When the MACD line crosses above the signal line, it’s a sign that the stock may start going up.

Sell signal: When the MACD line crosses below the signal line, it’s a sign that the stock may start going down.

4. Bollinger Bands

Bollinger Bands consist of three lines:

Middle Band: A simple moving average (SMA).

Upper Band: The middle band plus two standard deviations.

Lower Band: The middle band minus two standard deviations.

These bands expand and contract based on price volatility (how much prices are moving).

How to use it:

Overbought: When the price is near the upper band, the stock might be overbought (too expensive), and it could drop.

Oversold: When the price is near the lower band, the stock might be oversold (too cheap), and it could rise.

Squeeze: When the bands are very close together, it usually means a big price move is coming soon.

No comments:

Post a Comment